Performance Tracker

Every pick. Verified. Immutable.

Performance Tracker

Every Top Play posted to X before tip-off, graded at the number we posted. No edits. No excuses.

Live Tracking

DATE RANGE: 2026-02-112026-03-28
Win Rate
49%
44 wins · 46 losses · 1 pushes
Return on Investment
-6.7%
Flat 1u per posted play, -110
Net Units Won
-6.00u
Net result this stretch
Total Picks
91
Every Top Play posted on X
Strong Edge

Our highest-confidence selections, backed by significant model variance from market consensus.

No picks today — we sat it out

Breakdown

The same graded plays, cut by month.

February 2026
63 plays graded
Record
31-31-1
Win Rate
50%
Units
-2.82u
ROI
-4.5%
March 2026
28 plays graded
Record
13-15
Win Rate
46%
Units
-3.18u
ROI
-11%

Daily Results Log

Every graded day, newest first. Expand a day to see the individual plays.

* ALL RESULTS ARE VERIFIED AND IMMUTABLE. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Methodology

What Is Tracked

Every Top Play we posted publicly to @MooreCovers between February 11 and March 28, 2026. Every play below was posted before tip-off and can be checked against that timeline. The record starts February 11 because that is the first slate the model released Top Plays on; before that it posted 0.5u cards or passed outright. Half-unit value plays ran in our Discord and were not posted publicly on a consistent basis, so they are excluded entirely rather than sampled — a partial record is worse than no record.

Grading

Each play is graded against the exact number in the post that released it. When a line moved during the day and we posted an updated card, the last number we published is the one graded. Final scores come from ESPN.

Staking And ROI

Flat 1 unit per play at -110. A win returns 0.909u, a loss costs 1u, a push is zero. ROI is Net Units divided by Total Units Risked, and pushes are not counted as risked. Win rate is Wins / (Wins + Losses).

Corrections

Where a same-day recap post we published disagrees with the final score, the final score wins and the record here reflects it. Our February 21 recap called Northeastern +9.0 a winner; Hofstra won 82-68 and it is graded a loss below.