Why We Passed

A key part of our edge is knowing when NOT to bet. We track every game we skip and document the specific reason why.

Game	Reason	Explanation
Purdue @ Iowa	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Louisville @ Baylor	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Kansas @ Iowa St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Virginia @ Ohio St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 53% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Georgia @ Oklahoma	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
Auburn @ Arkansas	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
St. John's @ Providence	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 53% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
SMU @ Syracuse	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 53% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Villanova @ Creighton	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Texas Tech @ Arizona	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
Tulsa @ Wichita St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Kentucky @ Florida	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Nevada @ San Diego St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Saint Mary's @ Pacific	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 53% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Clemson @ Duke	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Minnesota @ Washington	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
VCU @ Richmond	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
California @ Boston College	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Florida St. @ Virginia Tech	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
UCLA @ Michigan	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
LSU @ Tennessee	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
Sam Houston St. @ Kennesaw St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Yale @ Harvard	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Penn St. @ Oregon	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Northwestern @ Nebraska	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
Toledo @ Bowling Green	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Colorado @ BYU	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Troy @ Southern Miss	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 53% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Fordham @ Rhode Island	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
South Alabama @ Arkansas St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Memphis @ Utah St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
South Carolina @ Alabama	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Elon @ William & Mary	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 53% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Liberty @ UTEP	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 53% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word	No Data	Skipped due to early-season data volatility and insufficient sample size.
Western Carolina @ Chattanooga	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 63% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Samford @ East Tennessee St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
North Dakota St. @ North Dakota	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 51% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
Tennessee Tech @ Southern Indiana	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
UMBC @ New Hampshire	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
South Dakota St. @ Oral Roberts	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
NJIT @ Maine	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Kansas St. @ Houston	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
North Florida @ Jacksonville	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Albany @ Binghamton	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 53% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Bellarmine @ Austin Peay	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Kent St. @ Ball St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
McNeese @ East Texas A&M	No Data	Skipped due to early-season data volatility and insufficient sample size.
Delaware @ Missouri St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
LIU @ New Haven	No Data	Skipped due to early-season data volatility and insufficient sample size.
Chicago St. @ Le Moyne	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.
Army @ American	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Mercer @ The Citadel	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 50% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
West Georgia @ Central Arkansas	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Delaware St. @ Norfolk St.	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Coppin St. @ North Carolina Central	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Furman @ VMI	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 53% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Bryant @ Vermont	Low Confidence	Model confidence of 56% was below our risk threshold for this matchup.
Air Force @ Fresno St.	Efficient Market	Our model shows an edge, but market consensus suggests a trap line.